The College Puzzle Blog
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Dr. Michael W. Kirst

Michael W. Kirst is Professor Emeritus of Education and Business Administration at Stanford University since 1969.
Dr. Kirst received his Ph.D. in political economy and government from Harvard. Before joining the Stanford University faculty, Dr. Kirst held several positions with the federal government, including Staff Director of the U.S. Senate Subcommittee on Manpower, Employment and Poverty. He was a former president of the California State Board of Education. His book From High School to College with Andrea Venezia was published by Jossey Bass in 2004.

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My blog discusses the important and complex subjects of college completion, college success, student risk factors (for failing), college readiness, and academic preparation. I will explore the pieces of the college puzzle that heavily influence, if not determine, college success rates.

States Where It Will Get Harder to get Into College

Last blog I wrote about the new study of high school grads in 2015 featuring the declining states. But there are some states with huge growth where college space will get tight or nonexistent. For examle Arizona growth is projceted to be 50% between 2005 and 2015! Some other states are Fla 22%, Ga 23%, Nevada 49%, NC 20%, Texas and Tenn 21%.
Many of these states barely have capacity for exisitng students-eg AZ, NV, and FLa. In Arizona the only four year public school in the Tuscon metro area is the University of Arizona which is bulging. Fla has communuty colleges converting to 4 years degrees, and has many geographical dense areas with no four year capacity.
Increasingly public college opportunity will depend on where you live.-see- http:/ for the projections. And even better high school preparation will be required to get admitted.

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