The College Puzzle Blog
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Dr. Michael W. Kirst

Michael W. Kirst is Professor Emeritus of Education and Business Administration at Stanford University since 1969.
Dr. Kirst received his Ph.D. in political economy and government from Harvard. Before joining the Stanford University faculty, Dr. Kirst held several positions with the federal government, including Staff Director of the U.S. Senate Subcommittee on Manpower, Employment and Poverty. He was a former president of the California State Board of Education. His book From High School to College with Andrea Venezia was published by Jossey Bass in 2004.

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My blog discusses the important and complex subjects of college completion, college success, student risk factors (for failing), college readiness, and academic preparation. I will explore the pieces of the college puzzle that heavily influence, if not determine, college success rates.

What IF We Doubled College Graduates

The book Minding the Gap edited by Andrea Venezia ( Harvard Press, 2007) includes varied strategies to increase college graduates at 2 and 4 year institutions. The goal is to double college graduation rates. But what if we did stimulate many more fully prepared students to go on to complete college. Would there be college places for all of them?
One view is pessimistic. States would not expand capacity and ration places in college the way California did 3 years ago. A more optimistic view is that more student demand will spur more college supply, and the supply will not precede the demand. I lean to the optimisitc view , but nobody is sure.
Another concern is how the economy would cope with all these new graduates at a 100% increase in output. The pessimistic view is that college grads will end up in low level and low paying jobs. The optimisitc view is that the baby boom retirees need to be replaced in the next few decades, and the labor market can handle the new grads

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